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October 2024

August 2024

Making Money When Others Lose Their Heads: Long-Term Strategies for Short-Term Panics
A rational investor's guide to crisis and opportunity.
The Ellsberg Paradox: Can Uncertain Investments Be Your Safest Bet?
How a famous investor 4x'ed his money by leveraging our fear of the unknown
2
Sentinel Companies: How to Identify, Track & Profit From Businesses that Anticipate New Market Trends
A note on harnessing environmental science to apply early warning indicators in financial markets
3
The Power of Simplicity: How to Explain (and Understand) Anything
Strategies and techniques for simplifying complex ideas to make profitable investment decisions
2

July 2024

Beyond the Base Case: Unlocking the Power of Scenario Analysis for Equity Research - Part II
Making investment decisions, black swans, and using base rates to anchor your forecasts
Beyond the Base Case: Unlocking the Power of Scenario Analysis for Equity Research - Part I
How to identify critical factors, assess risks, and make informed decisions to better forecast earnings
Mergers & Acquisitions: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly (A Reality Check for Equity Analysts)
Avoiding common pitfalls: how to spot red flags in M&A deals
Beyond Buying: Thoughts on the Art of Selling Stocks
A framework to think about when to sell at the right time
4
Safe-Haven Stocks: Finding Firms that Flourish During Recessions
Methodologies for Harnessing Cyclical Sensitivity
4
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